No clear favorite. Florida leads at just 26%. Many possible outcomes.
Low Liquidity — trade with caution| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida | 26% | +292% | $234 |
| 2 | Texas | 16% | +545% | $88 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 13% | +669% | $40 |
| 4 | Louisiana | 12% | +700% | $203 |
| 5 | South Carolina | 10% | +900% | $262 |
| 6 | Hawaii | 10% | +900% | - |
| 7 | Mississippi | 8% | +1076% | $301 |
| 8 | Alabama | 6% | +1438% | $683 |
| 9 | Georgia | 6% | +1718% | $2K |
| 10 | Virginia BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $458 |
| 11 | New Jersey | 4% | +2226% | $21 |
| 12 | Rhode Island | 4% | +2532% | $274 |
| 13 | Connecticut | 4% | +2717% | $430 |
| 14 | Delaware | 3% | +2930% | $411 |
| 15 | New Hampshire | 3% | +3179% | $817 |
| 16 | Maine | 3% | +3179% | $1K |
| 17 | Massachusetts | 3% | +3233% | $1K |
| 18 | Maryland | 2% | +3982% | $952 |
| 19 | New York | 2% | +4067% | $770 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to "Yes" if a hur...
This prediction market tracks whether Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season? will occur, with $10K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — Florida leads at only 26% across 19 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 19, 2026 at 12:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Florida at 26% probability, with $10K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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