No clear favorite. Fort Worth, TX leads at just 16%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Worth, TX BEST VALUE | 16% | +537% | $634 |
| 2 | Denver, CO | 4% | +2400% | $356 |
| 3 | Charlotte, NC | 3% | +2799% | $733 |
| 4 | Kansas City, MO | 3% | +2799% | $586 |
| 5 | Columbus, OH | 3% | +2841% | $840 |
| 6 | Indianapolis, IN | 3% | +2885% | $563 |
| 7 | Omaha, NE | 3% | +2885% | $404 |
| 8 | Birmingham, AL | 3% | +2885% | $634 |
| 9 | Little Rock, AR | 3% | +2930% | $760 |
| 10 | Memphis, TN | 3% | +3290% | $317 |
| 11 | Des Moines, IA | 3% | +3674% | $950 |
| 12 | Oklahoma City, OK | 3% | +3822% | $783 |
| 13 | Minneapolis, MN | 3% | +3822% | $307 |
| 14 | New Orleans, LA | 2% | +4155% | $407 |
| 15 | St. Louis, MO | 2% | +5961% | $625 |
| 16 | Houston, TX | 2% | +6352% | $217 |
| 17 | San Antonio, TX | 1% | +7043% | $197 |
| 18 | Tampa, FL | 1% | +8233% | $270 |
| 19 | Austin, TX | 1% | +11011% | $397 |
| 20 | Atlanta, GA | 1% | +11011% | $273 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that falls within a tornado probability area rated ≥2% in the NOAA Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook on August 24, 2026. Otherwise...
This prediction market tracks whether Which cities face tornado risk on August 24? will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — Fort Worth, TX leads at only 16% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 25, 2026 at 05:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Fort Worth, TX at 16% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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