Anthropic leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
High Volume — $6.7M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthropic | 80% | +24% | $546K |
| 2 | Google BEST VALUE | 18% | +441% | $461K |
| 3 | OpenAI | 1% | +7307% | $649K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderb...
As of May 14, 2026 at 21:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Anthropic at 80% probability, with $6.7M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $6.7M, with $480K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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