The market strongly favors Anthropic at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthropic | 100% | +0% | $28K |
| 2 | Company A BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Company B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Company C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Company D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Company E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Company F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Company G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Company H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Company I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Company K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results fro...
This prediction market tracks whether Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September? will occur, with $176K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: Anthropic is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $101K traded in the last 24 hours alone (57% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 30, 2026 at 17:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Anthropic at 100% probability, with $176K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $176K, with $101K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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