Anthropic leads at 63%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthropic | 63% | +59% | $3K |
| 2 | Company A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Company B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Company C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Company D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Company E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Company F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Company G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Company H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Company I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Company K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | OpenAI BEST VALUE | 31% | +223% | $7K |
| 14 | SpaceXAI | 1% | +15285% | $789 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results fro...
This prediction market tracks whether Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September? will occur, with $23K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
Traders lean toward Anthropic at 63%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (88% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 05, 2026 at 00:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Anthropic at 63% probability, with $23K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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