The market strongly favors Creeper at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Creeper | 100% | - | $11K |
| 2 | Skeleton | 100% | - | $1K |
| 3 | Wither Skeleton | 100% | - | $1K |
| 4 | Enderman | 78% | +29% | $2K |
| 5 | Blaze | 68% | +47% | $2K |
| 6 | Spider | 66% | +53% | $1K |
| 7 | Pillager | 64% | +56% | $1K |
| 8 | Piglin | 63% | +59% | $772 |
| 9 | Zombified Piglin | 50% | +98% | $2K |
| 10 | Zombie | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Hoglin | 46% | +117% | $751 |
| 12 | Witch | 36% | +178% | $216 |
| 13 | Iron Golem | 24% | +317% | $212 |
| 14 | Ghast | 23% | +335% | $3K |
| 15 | Polar Bear | 12% | +733% | $276 |
| 16 | Phantom | 11% | +809% | $423 |
| 17 | Slime BEST VALUE | 6% | +1526% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET, in which they will attempt to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the...
This prediction market tracks whether Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed? will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Creeper is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (43% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 10, 2026 at 07:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Creeper at 100% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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