The market strongly favors Creeper at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Creeper | 100% | - | $929 |
| 2 | Creeper (again) | 98% | +2% | $2K |
| 3 | Skeleton | 44% | +130% | $5K |
| 4 | Zombie | 28% | +264% | $3K |
| 5 | Wither Skeleton | 18% | +456% | $2K |
| 6 | Spider | 17% | +488% | $2K |
| 7 | Enderman | 17% | +488% | $2K |
| 8 | Pillager | 17% | +488% | $428 |
| 9 | Blaze | 16% | +506% | - |
| 10 | Ender Dragon | 14% | +614% | $227 |
| 11 | Zombified Piglin | 13% | +669% | $6K |
| 12 | Vex BEST VALUE | 12% | +700% | $150 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a...
This prediction market tracks whether Which mobs will eliminate Lacy or Marlon? will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Creeper is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (90% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 06:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Creeper at 100% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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