Avengers: Doomsday leads at 60%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avengers: Doomsday | 60% | +67% | $17K |
| 2 | Movie B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Movie C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Movie D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Movie E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Movie F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Movie G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Movie H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Movie I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Movie J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Movie K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Movie L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Movie M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Movie N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Movie O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day BEST VALUE | 39% | +156% | $10K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on t...
This prediction market tracks whether Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026? will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
Traders lean toward Avengers: Doomsday at 60%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $8K traded in the last 24 hours alone (27% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 04, 2026 at 00:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Avengers: Doomsday at 60% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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