Market is split — Yisrael Beiteinu at 56%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yisrael Beiteinu | 56% | +80% | $2K |
| 2 | Yashar | 48% | +106% | $12K |
| 3 | Together | 44% | +125% | $5K |
| 4 | Likud | 38% | +167% | $14K |
| 5 | Shas | 32% | +217% | $2K |
| 6 | The Democrats | 30% | +228% | $4K |
| 7 | United Torah Judaism | 29% | +245% | $4K |
| 8 | RZP-Zehut | 26% | +277% | $7K |
| 9 | Ra'am | 23% | +335% | $29K |
| 10 | Otzma Yehudit | 20% | +400% | $5K |
| 11 | Amcha Yisrael | 8% | +1076% | $5K |
| 12 | New Economic Party / The Reservists BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $4K |
| 13 | Noam | 5% | +1920% | $13K |
| 14 | Joint List | 4% | +2757% | $4K |
| 15 | Blue and White | 3% | +3746% | $499 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the...
This prediction market tracks whether Which parties will be in the next Israeli government? will occur, with $110K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Yisrael Beiteinu leading at just 56%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (19% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-06-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 28, 2026 at 06:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Yisrael Beiteinu at 56% probability, with $110K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $110K, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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