No clear favorite. None leads at just 26%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | None | 26% | +292% | $684 |
| 2 | AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX | 9% | +1011% | $447 |
| 3 | IA BEST VALUE | 6% | +1581% | $3K |
| 4 | IA, KS | 4% | +2122% | $630 |
| 5 | IA, KS, ME, MI, TX | 4% | +2226% | $342 |
| 6 | IA, KS, ME, OH, TX | 4% | +2400% | $1K |
| 7 | IA, KS, ME | 3% | +3025% | $517 |
| 8 | AK, IA, KS, OH | 3% | +3179% | $289 |
| 9 | IA, ME, MI, TX | 3% | +3179% | $216 |
| 10 | KS | 3% | +3179% | $694 |
| 11 | IA, MI | 3% | +3290% | $374 |
| 12 | IA, TX | 3% | +3471% | $362 |
| 13 | AK, IA, ME, OH, TX | 2% | +4067% | $903 |
| 14 | KS, ME, OH, TX | 2% | +4067% | $398 |
| 15 | AK, KS, ME, MI, TX | 2% | +4778% | $256 |
| 16 | KS, MI, OH | 2% | +4778% | $519 |
| 17 | TX | 2% | +5028% | $297 |
| 18 | ME, MI, TX | 2% | +5305% | $532 |
| 19 | IA, ME, TX | 2% | +5456% | $544 |
| 20 | MI | 2% | +5782% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November...
This prediction market tracks whether Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? will occur, with $53K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — None leads at only 26% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $44K traded in the last 24 hours alone (84% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 28, 2026 at 03:45 UTC, the leading outcome is None at 26% probability, with $53K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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