Who will acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026 · Volume: $1.3M · 24h: $90K · Updated Jul 01, 2026 at 08:35 UTC
PredScope Signal: Strong Consensus

The market strongly favors Larry Ellison/Oracle at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.

High Volume — $1.3M traded
Active 24h volume is 7.1% of total — above-average activity
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 Larry Ellison/Oracle 100% - $565K
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operati...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Who will acquire TikTok? will occur, with $1.3M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by diplomatic signals, military intelligence, and geopolitical risk assessments.

The market shows strong consensus: Larry Ellison/Oracle is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.

Recent trading volume of $90K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$1.3M
Liquidity
$253K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Who will acquire TikTok??

As of Jul 01, 2026 at 08:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Larry Ellison/Oracle at 100% probability, with $1.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.

How much money is bet on Who will acquire TikTok??

The total trading volume for this market is $1.3M, with $90K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.

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