The market strongly favors $25B at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $25B | 98% | +3% | $8K |
| 2 | $26B | 84% | +19% | $20K |
| 3 | $27.5B | 81% | +23% | $5K |
| 4 | $29B | 67% | +50% | $11K |
| 5 | $30B BEST VALUE | 46% | +120% | $5K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron's DRAM revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed a...
This prediction market tracks whether Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above __? will occur, with $48K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: $25B is priced at 98%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (24% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 20, 2026 at 01:35 UTC, the leading outcome is $25B at 98% probability, with $48K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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