The market strongly favors ↑$900B at 89%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↑$900B | 89% | +12% | $58K |
| 2 | ↑$1.0T | 81% | +23% | $52K |
| 3 | ↑$1.25T | 78% | +27% | $50K |
| 4 | ↓$800B | 70% | +42% | $59K |
| 5 | ↑$1.5T | 59% | +69% | $46K |
| 6 | ↓$750B | 52% | +94% | $76K |
| 7 | ↑$1.75T | 40% | +153% | $42K |
| 8 | ↓$700B | 38% | +167% | $35K |
| 9 | ↑$2.0T | 28% | +251% | $67K |
| 10 | ↓$600B | 22% | +344% | $32K |
| 11 | ↑$2.5T | 16% | +506% | $38K |
| 12 | ↓$500B | 14% | +590% | $31K |
| 13 | ↑$3.0T | 8% | +1076% | $18K |
| 14 | ↑$4.0T BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $13K |
| 15 | ↑$5.0T | 4% | +2497% | $10K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31,...
This prediction market tracks whether Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31? will occur, with $628K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: ↑$900B is priced at 89%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $11K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 13, 2026 at 01:25 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑$900B at 89% probability, with $628K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $628K, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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