Market is split — ↑$925B at 53%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ↑$925B | 53% | +89% | $5K |
| 2 | ↓$875B | 16% | +545% | $4K |
| 3 | ↑$975B | 10% | +852% | $12K |
| 4 | ↑$1.025T BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $7K |
| 5 | ↓$825B | 4% | +2339% | $2K |
| 6 | ↑$1.125T | 4% | +2497% | $14K |
| 7 | ↓$750B | 2% | +5782% | $2K |
| 8 | ↑$1.275T | 2% | +6150% | $6K |
| 9 | ↑$1.525T | 1% | +12400% | $5K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and September 30,...
This prediction market tracks whether Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30? will occur, with $57K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market is closely contested, with ↑$925B leading at just 53%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (21% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 17, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑$925B at 53% probability, with $57K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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