Aryna Sabalenka leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aryna Sabalenka | 80% | +24% | $272 |
| 2 | Elena Rybakina | 72% | +39% | $174 |
| 3 | Diana Shnaider | 56% | +77% | $60 |
| 4 | Iga Swiatek | 55% | +82% | $245 |
| 5 | Marie Bouzkova | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Karolina Muchova | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Naomi Osaka | 50% | +102% | - |
| 8 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Katerina Siniakova | 49% | +104% | - |
| 10 | Marta Kostyuk | 49% | +104% | - |
| 11 | Jessica Pegula | 49% | +104% | $556 |
| 12 | Anna Kalinskaya | 49% | +104% | $30 |
| 13 | Emma Navarro | 49% | +104% | - |
| 14 | Janice Tjen | 48% | +106% | - |
| 15 | Alexandra Eala | 48% | +106% | - |
| 16 | Nikola Bartunkova | 48% | +108% | - |
| 17 | Dayana Yastremska | 48% | +108% | - |
| 18 | Iva Jovic | 48% | +108% | - |
| 19 | Camila Osorio BEST VALUE | 48% | +111% | - |
| 20 | Lanlana Tararudee | 48% | +111% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No"...
This prediction market tracks whether Wimbledon 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Women's Singles) will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Aryna Sabalenka at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 30, 2026 at 21:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Aryna Sabalenka at 80% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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