Market is split — Naomi Osaka at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naomi Osaka | 50% | +102% | - |
| 2 | Katerina Siniakova | 49% | +104% | $76 |
| 3 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 48% | +109% | - |
| 4 | Oksana Selekhmeteva | 48% | +109% | - |
| 5 | Antonia Ruzic | 48% | +109% | - |
| 6 | Lanlana Tararudee | 48% | +109% | - |
| 7 | Maya Joint | 48% | +109% | - |
| 8 | Barbora Krejcikova | 48% | +109% | - |
| 9 | Caty McNally | 48% | +109% | - |
| 10 | Anna Blinkova | 48% | +109% | - |
| 11 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 48% | +109% | - |
| 12 | Tatjana Maria | 48% | +109% | - |
| 13 | Diane Parry | 48% | +109% | - |
| 14 | Viktorija Golubic | 48% | +109% | - |
| 15 | Alexandra Eala | 48% | +110% | - |
| 16 | Sorana Cirstea | 48% | +110% | - |
| 17 | Katie Swan | 48% | +111% | - |
| 18 | Xinyu Wang | 48% | +111% | - |
| 19 | Janice Tjen | 48% | +111% | - |
| 20 | Iva Jovic BEST VALUE | 47% | +113% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No"....
This prediction market tracks whether Wimbledon 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles) will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Naomi Osaka leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 30, 2026 at 19:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Naomi Osaka at 50% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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