Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun leads at 70%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun | 70% | +42% | $6K |
| 2 | Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.5 | 55% | +82% | $52 |
| 3 | O/U 172.5 | 52% | +90% | $10K |
| 4 | Spread -5.5 | 52% | +94% | $2K |
| 5 | Diamond Miller: Points O/U 11.5 | 51% | +96% | $4 |
| 6 | O/U 173.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 7 | Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 8 | Spread -6.5 | 48% | +111% | $11K |
| 9 | O/U 174.5 | 48% | +111% | $97K |
| 10 | Kelsey Plum: Points O/U 17.5 | 47% | +113% | - |
| 11 | Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 12.5 | 43% | +133% | $158 |
| 12 | Diamond Miller: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 35% | +186% | $3 |
| 13 | Kelsey Plum: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 33% | +203% | - |
| 14 | Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 33% | +203% | - |
| 15 | DeWanna Bonner: Points O/U 10.5 | 28% | +257% | $109 |
| 16 | Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 20.5 | 28% | +264% | - |
| 17 | DeWanna Bonner: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 27% | +270% | - |
| 18 | Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 4.5 | 27% | +270% | $19 |
| 19 | Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 15.5 | 26% | +292% | - |
| 20 | Leïla Lacan: Rebounds O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +326% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 7 at 7:30PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connec...
This prediction market tracks whether Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun will occur, with $127K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun at 70%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $126K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 07, 2026 at 17:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun at 70% probability, with $127K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $127K, with $126K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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