The market strongly favors Round of 32 at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Round of 32 | 92% | +8% | $15K |
| 2 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Round of 16 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $6K |
| 4 | Quarterfinals | 1% | +7900% | $4K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Cape Verde is eliminated. If Cape Verde wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Cape Verde i...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Cape Verde Stage of Elimination will occur, with $59K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Round of 32 is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (25% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 27, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Round of 32 at 92% probability, with $59K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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