The market strongly favors 1+ at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1+ | 100% | - | $575 |
| 2 | 2+ | 100% | - | $2K |
| 3 | 3+ | 100% | - | $4K |
| 4 | 4+ | 100% | - | $3K |
| 5 | 5+ | 100% | - | $5K |
| 6 | 7+ | 100% | +0% | $3K |
| 7 | 6+ | 100% | +0% | $14K |
| 8 | 8+ | 56% | +77% | $12K |
| 9 | 11+ | 38% | +162% | $2K |
| 10 | 12+ | 37% | +168% | $606 |
| 11 | 9+ | 34% | +199% | $4K |
| 12 | 10+ BEST VALUE | 28% | +264% | $5K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Erling Haaland scores during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only go...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Erling Haaland Goals will occur, with $56K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: 1+ is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (27% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 05, 2026 at 23:45 UTC, the leading outcome is 1+ at 100% probability, with $56K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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