No clear favorite. Kylian Mbappe leads at just 16%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $4.4M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kylian Mbappe | 16% | +545% | $268K |
| 2 | Harry Kane | 12% | +700% | $181K |
| 3 | Mikel Oyarzabal | 8% | +1233% | $84K |
| 4 | Erling Haaland | 6% | +1438% | $156K |
| 5 | Michael Olise BEST VALUE | 5% | +1823% | $201K |
| 6 | Cristiano Ronaldo | 5% | +2005% | $140K |
| 7 | Julian Alvarez | 4% | +2253% | $120K |
| 8 | Lionel Messi | 4% | +2310% | $159K |
| 9 | Lamine Yamal | 4% | +2640% | $147K |
| 10 | Raphinha | 3% | +2885% | $58K |
| 11 | Vinicius Junior | 3% | +3536% | $85K |
| 12 | Ousmane Dembele | 2% | +4344% | $102K |
| 13 | Cody Gakpo | 2% | +4778% | $22K |
| 14 | Lautaro Martinez | 2% | +4778% | $98K |
| 15 | Igor Thiago | 2% | +5305% | $80K |
| 16 | Ferran Torres | 2% | +5782% | $181K |
| 17 | Luis Diaz | 1% | +7900% | $89K |
| 18 | Deniz Undav | 1% | +10426% | $117K |
| 19 | Bruno Fernandes | 1% | +11011% | $109K |
| 20 | Luis Javier Suárez | 1% | +11665% | $75K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according t...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Golden Boot Winner will occur, with $4.4M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Kylian Mbappe leads at only 16% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $713K traded in the last 24 hours alone (16% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Kylian Mbappe at 16% probability, with $4.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $4.4M, with $713K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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