No clear favorite. USA leads at just 38%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 38% | +160% | $79K |
| 2 | Türkiye | 34% | +190% | $149K |
| 3 | Paraguay | 18% | +471% | $63K |
| 4 | Australia BEST VALUE | 9% | +958% | $34K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resol...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup Group D Winner will occur, with $325K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — USA leads at only 38% across 4 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $22K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is USA at 38% probability, with $325K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $325K, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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