Uruguay (16) leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uruguay (16) | 84% | +20% | $575 |
| 2 | Team A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Team B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Croatia (11) BEST VALUE | 15% | +549% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the nation with the highest FIFA World Ranking that fails to advance from the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The FIFA World Ranking in effect at the time of this...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Highest-Ranking Nation Eliminated (Group Phase) will occur, with $246K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Uruguay (16) at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $213K traded in the last 24 hours alone (87% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 27, 2026 at 11:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Uruguay (16) at 84% probability, with $246K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $246K, with $213K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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