The market strongly favors 1+ at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1+ | 100% | - | $2K |
| 2 | 2+ | 100% | - | $2K |
| 3 | 3+ | 100% | - | $3K |
| 4 | 4+ | 100% | - | $2K |
| 5 | 5+ | 100% | - | $23K |
| 6 | 6+ | 100% | - | $14K |
| 7 | 7+ | 100% | - | $5K |
| 8 | 8+ | 82% | +22% | $6K |
| 9 | 9+ | 52% | +90% | $14K |
| 10 | 14+ | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | 12+ | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | 15+ | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | 14+ | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | 13+ | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | 10+ | 33% | +203% | $9K |
| 16 | 11+ | 16% | +525% | $3K |
| 17 | 12+ | 10% | +900% | $6K |
| 18 | 13+ BEST VALUE | 7% | +1329% | $4K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Kylian Mbappe scores during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only goa...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Kylian Mbappe Goals will occur, with $92K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: 1+ is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $14K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
As of Jul 09, 2026 at 04:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 1+ at 100% probability, with $92K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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