No clear favorite. France leads at just 22%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 22% | +344% | $9K |
| 2 | Spain | 14% | +590% | $6K |
| 3 | England | 13% | +669% | $6K |
| 4 | Argentina | 10% | +900% | $7K |
| 5 | Brazil | 10% | +953% | $9K |
| 6 | Norway | 9% | +1011% | $9K |
| 7 | Germany | 6% | +1438% | $7K |
| 8 | Portugal BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $7K |
| 9 | Belgium | 3% | +3409% | $6K |
| 10 | Netherlands | 3% | +3822% | $5K |
| 11 | Colombia | 2% | +5782% | $5K |
| 12 | Morocco | 1% | +9900% | $3K |
| 13 | Switzerland | 1% | +11011% | $4K |
| 14 | Sweden | 1% | +14186% | $3K |
| 15 | Mexico | 1% | +15285% | $4K |
| 16 | Uruguay | 1% | +16567% | $3K |
| 17 | DR Congo | 1% | +16567% | $2K |
| 18 | USA | 1% | +18082% | $3K |
| 19 | Turkiye | 1% | +18082% | $3K |
| 20 | Japan | 1% | +18082% | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market resolves to the nation represented by the player who finishes as the top goalscorer across all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will r...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Nation of Top Goalscorer will occur, with $162K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — France leads at only 22% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (15% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is France at 22% probability, with $162K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $162K, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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