No clear favorite. Spain leads at just 28%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 28% | +251% | $19K |
| 2 | France | 28% | +251% | $19K |
| 3 | England | 23% | +335% | $26K |
| 4 | Portugal | 20% | +400% | $31K |
| 5 | Brazil | 20% | +413% | $16K |
| 6 | Argentina | 18% | +441% | $4K |
| 7 | Germany | 12% | +700% | $3K |
| 8 | Netherlands | 10% | +953% | $17K |
| 9 | Norway | 8% | +1150% | $34K |
| 10 | Belgium | 6% | +1438% | $12K |
| 11 | Colombia | 6% | +1500% | $7K |
| 12 | Morocco | 6% | +1609% | $28K |
| 13 | Mexico | 6% | +1624% | $29K |
| 14 | Japan BEST VALUE | 6% | +1686% | $13K |
| 15 | USA | 5% | +2074% | $8K |
| 16 | Uruguay | 4% | +2226% | $5K |
| 17 | Switzerland | 4% | +2532% | $12K |
| 18 | Ecuador | 4% | +2678% | $9K |
| 19 | Turkiye | 3% | +2799% | $22K |
| 20 | Ivory Coast | 3% | +2885% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g....
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Nation to Reach Final will occur, with $336K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
No clear favorite has emerged — Spain leads at only 28% across 20 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $59K traded in the last 24 hours alone (18% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Spain at 28% probability, with $336K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $336K, with $59K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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