France leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 80% | +26% | $64K |
| 2 | Spain | 78% | +29% | $17K |
| 3 | England | 72% | +39% | $29K |
| 4 | Brazil | 70% | +43% | $20K |
| 5 | Portugal | 70% | +44% | $29K |
| 6 | Germany | 68% | +46% | $21K |
| 7 | Argentina | 68% | +48% | $11K |
| 8 | Belgium | 62% | +61% | $9K |
| 9 | Switzerland | 56% | +77% | $6K |
| 10 | Netherlands | 56% | +80% | $9K |
| 11 | Norway | 54% | +85% | $8K |
| 12 | Mexico | 54% | +87% | $12K |
| 13 | Colombia | 52% | +94% | $6K |
| 14 | USA | 48% | +108% | $4K |
| 15 | Turkiye | 46% | +117% | $9K |
| 16 | Morocco | 44% | +130% | $10K |
| 17 | Canada | 42% | +135% | $2K |
| 18 | Ecuador | 42% | +138% | $4K |
| 19 | Japan | 40% | +147% | $12K |
| 20 | Uruguay BEST VALUE | 40% | +150% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round o...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16 will occur, with $328K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward France at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $71K traded in the last 24 hours alone (22% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is France at 80% probability, with $328K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $328K, with $71K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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