1+ matches leads at 77%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1+ matches | 77% | +30% | $3K |
| 2 | 2+ matches | 69% | +45% | $2K |
| 3 | 3+ matches | 36% | +178% | $689 |
| 4 | 4+ matches | 29% | +245% | $1K |
| 5 | 5+ matches | 16% | +525% | $2K |
| 6 | 7+ matches | 8% | +1150% | - |
| 7 | 6+ matches BEST VALUE | 7% | +1427% | $1K |
| 8 | 8+ matches | 5% | +1920% | $505 |
| 9 | 9+ matches | 2% | +5305% | $539 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches affected by the adverse-weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market wil...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: No. of Matches Suspended By Weather Protocol will occur, with $10K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward 1+ matches at 77%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $9K traded in the last 24 hours alone (89% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 13, 2026 at 10:25 UTC, the leading outcome is 1+ matches at 77% probability, with $10K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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