The market strongly favors 1+ matches at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1+ matches | 100% | - | $4K |
| 2 | 2+ matches | 100% | +0% | $17K |
| 3 | 3+ matches | 97% | +3% | $2K |
| 4 | 4+ matches | 95% | +5% | $2K |
| 5 | 5+ matches | 91% | +10% | $162 |
| 6 | 8+ matches | 90% | +10% | $3K |
| 7 | 7+ matches | 88% | +14% | $747 |
| 8 | 6+ matches | 86% | +17% | $676 |
| 9 | 9+ matches BEST VALUE | 60% | +67% | $7K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches that go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”....
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: No. of Matches to go to Extra Time will occur, with $36K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: 1+ matches is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (47% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 30, 2026 at 05:05 UTC, the leading outcome is 1+ matches at 100% probability, with $36K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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