Round of 32 leads at 67%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Round of 32 | 67% | +49% | $47K |
| 2 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Round of 16 BEST VALUE | 24% | +308% | $4K |
| 4 | Semifinals | 1% | +18082% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Paraguay is eliminated. If Paraguay wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Paraguay is disq...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Paraguay Stage of Elimination will occur, with $72K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Round of 32 at 67%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $30K traded in the last 24 hours alone (41% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 29, 2026 at 23:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Round of 32 at 67% probability, with $72K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms