The market strongly favors Gabriel Magalhaes at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Magalhaes BEST VALUE | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 2 | Bruno Guimaraes | 100% | +0% | $2K |
| 3 | Casemiro | 100% | +0% | $526 |
| 4 | Raphinha | 100% | +0% | $861 |
| 5 | Alisson | 100% | +0% | $814 |
| 6 | Lucas Paqueta | 100% | +0% | $2K |
| 7 | Igor Thiago | 100% | +0% | $2K |
| 8 | Douglas Santos | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 9 | Ibanez | 100% | +0% | $61K |
| 10 | Marquinhos | 100% | +0% | $451 |
| 11 | Vinicius Jr | 100% | +0% | $430 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player takes the field as a member of Brazil's official starting lineup for the first group stage game the nation plays at 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwis...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Player to be in Brazil's Starting 11 will occur, with $93K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Gabriel Magalhaes is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $87K traded in the last 24 hours alone (93% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 13, 2026 at 23:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Gabriel Magalhaes at 100% probability, with $93K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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