The market strongly favors Mike Maignan at 99%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Maignan | 99% | +1% | $20 |
| 2 | Kylian Mbappé | 99% | +1% | $414 |
| 3 | Michael Olise | 98% | +2% | $251 |
| 4 | Aurélien Tchouaméni | 98% | +2% | - |
| 5 | Ousmane Dembélé | 98% | +2% | $910 |
| 6 | Dayot Upamecano | 97% | +4% | $286 |
| 7 | Théo Hernandez | 89% | +12% | $3K |
| 8 | Jules Koundé | 84% | +18% | $569 |
| 9 | Adrien Rabiot | 83% | +20% | $154 |
| 10 | Désiré Doué | 64% | +55% | $988 |
| 11 | William Saliba | 40% | +150% | $3K |
| 12 | Bradley Barcola | 35% | +186% | $2K |
| 13 | Lucas Digne | 24% | +326% | $3K |
| 14 | Rayan Cherki | 20% | +413% | $735 |
| 15 | Ibrahima Konaté | 19% | +426% | $2K |
| 16 | Malo Gusto | 10% | +852% | $1K |
| 17 | Warren Zaïre-Emery | 10% | +953% | $2K |
| 18 | N'Golo Kanté BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $2K |
| 19 | Maxence Lacroix | 4% | +2199% | $134 |
| 20 | Brice Samba | 3% | +2799% | $775 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player takes the field as a member of France's official starting lineup for the first group stage game the nation plays at 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwis...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Player to be in France's Starting 11 will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Mike Maignan is priced at 99%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (70% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
As of Jun 14, 2026 at 02:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Mike Maignan at 99% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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