The market strongly favors Joshua Kimmich at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joshua Kimmich | 98% | +2% | $410 |
| 2 | Nico Schlotterbeck | 98% | +2% | $259 |
| 3 | Jamal Musiala | 98% | +2% | $870 |
| 4 | Jonathan Tah | 98% | +2% | $81 |
| 5 | Florian Wirtz | 98% | +2% | $31 |
| 6 | Manuel Neuer | 98% | +3% | $3K |
| 7 | Kai Havertz | 97% | +3% | $693 |
| 8 | Leroy Sané | 97% | +3% | $747 |
| 9 | Aleksandar Pavlović | 96% | +4% | $777 |
| 10 | Nathaniel Brown | 92% | +9% | $4K |
| 11 | Felix Nmecha | 88% | +13% | $349 |
| 12 | Leon Goretzka | 10% | +852% | $158 |
| 13 | David Raum | 10% | +852% | $1K |
| 14 | Deniz Undav | 10% | +852% | $120 |
| 15 | Antonio Rüdiger | 10% | +900% | $488 |
| 16 | Angelo Stiller | 9% | +1011% | - |
| 17 | Nick Woltemade | 6% | +1567% | $45 |
| 18 | Jamie Leweling | 6% | +1567% | - |
| 19 | Assan Ouédraogo BEST VALUE | 5% | +1805% | $1K |
| 20 | Oliver Baumann | 4% | +2122% | $81 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player takes the field as a member of Germany's official starting lineup for the first group stage game the nation plays at 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwi...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Player to be in Germany's Starting 11 will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Joshua Kimmich is priced at 98%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours alone (65% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 14, 2026 at 11:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Joshua Kimmich at 98% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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