The market strongly favors Denzel Dumfries at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denzel Dumfries | 100% | +0% | $685 |
| 2 | Virgil van Dijk | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 3 | Tijjani Reijnders | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 4 | Crysencio Summerville | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 5 | Ryan Gravenberch | 100% | +0% | $752 |
| 6 | Donyell Malen | 100% | +0% | $2K |
| 7 | Micky van de Ven | 100% | +0% | $834 |
| 8 | Bart Verbruggen | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 9 | Jan Paul van Hecke | 100% | +0% | $730 |
| 10 | Cody Gakpo | 100% | +0% | $766 |
| 11 | Frenkie de Jong | 100% | +0% | $707 |
| 12 | Guus Til BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $100 |
| 13 | Wout Weghorst | 4% | +2122% | $255 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player takes the field as a member of the Netherlands' official starting lineup for the first group stage game the nation plays at 2026 FIFA World Cup....
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Player to be in Netherlands's Starting 11 will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Denzel Dumfries is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours alone (85% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 14, 2026 at 21:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Denzel Dumfries at 100% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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