The market strongly favors João Neves at 99%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | João Neves | 99% | +1% | $496 |
| 2 | Vitinha | 99% | +1% | $274 |
| 3 | Rúben Dias | 98% | +2% | $126 |
| 4 | Bruno Fernandes | 98% | +2% | $210 |
| 5 | Diogo Costa | 98% | +2% | $460 |
| 6 | Cristiano Ronaldo | 96% | +4% | $2K |
| 7 | Nuno Mendes | 94% | +6% | $839 |
| 8 | Bernardo Silva | 88% | +14% | $457 |
| 9 | Pedro Neto | 74% | +35% | $504 |
| 10 | Gonçalo Inácio | 72% | +39% | $811 |
| 11 | Rafael Leão | 66% | +50% | $3K |
| 12 | João Cancelo | 62% | +60% | $1K |
| 13 | Diogo Dalot | 52% | +92% | $2K |
| 14 | Renato Veiga | 47% | +113% | $766 |
| 15 | João Félix | 14% | +614% | $948 |
| 16 | Nélson Semedo | 13% | +669% | $2K |
| 17 | Gonçalo Ramos | 11% | +809% | $80 |
| 18 | Francisco Conceição | 6% | +1567% | $2K |
| 19 | Tomás Araújo BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $55 |
| 20 | Matheus Nunes | 5% | +1900% | $110 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player takes the field as a member of Portugal's official starting lineup for the first group stage game the nation plays at 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherw...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Player to be in Portugal's Starting 11 will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: João Neves is priced at 99%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $9K traded in the last 24 hours alone (47% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
As of Jun 14, 2026 at 16:05 UTC, the leading outcome is João Neves at 99% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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