The market strongly favors Mikel Oyarzabal at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mikel Oyarzabal | 88% | +14% | $2K |
| 2 | Michael Olise | 86% | +16% | $3K |
| 3 | Lionel Messi | 86% | +17% | $9K |
| 4 | Bruno Fernandes | 84% | +19% | $187 |
| 5 | Lautaro Martínez | 84% | +19% | $1K |
| 6 | Ferran Torres | 84% | +19% | $1K |
| 7 | Cody Gakpo | 83% | +20% | $175 |
| 8 | Breel Embolo | 82% | +21% | $456 |
| 9 | Raphinha | 82% | +22% | $735 |
| 10 | Cristiano Ronaldo | 82% | +23% | $25K |
| 11 | Julián Álvarez | 81% | +23% | $797 |
| 12 | Luis Díaz | 80% | +24% | $2K |
| 13 | Jamal Musiala | 80% | +25% | $3K |
| 14 | Dan Ndoye | 80% | +26% | $318 |
| 15 | Kai Havertz | 80% | +26% | $1K |
| 16 | Raúl Jiménez | 78% | +28% | $2K |
| 17 | Hakan Çalhanoğlu | 78% | +28% | $284 |
| 18 | Matheus Cunha | 77% | +30% | $982 |
| 19 | Mohamed Salah BEST VALUE | 76% | +31% | $2K |
| 20 | Rayan Cherki | 76% | +31% | $3K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed player scores a goal during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. A goal scored during regular t...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Player to score will occur, with $371K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Mikel Oyarzabal is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $46K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Mikel Oyarzabal at 88% probability, with $371K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $371K, with $46K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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