Market is split — FRA vs ESP / ENG vs ARG at 51%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FRA vs ESP / ENG vs ARG | 51% | +96% | $5K |
| 2 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | FRA vs ESP / NOR vs SUI | 41% | +146% | $21 |
| 4 | FRA vs BEL / ENG vs SUI | 29% | +250% | $10 |
| 5 | FRA vs BEL / NOR vs SUI | 28% | +252% | $10 |
| 6 | FRA vs ESP / ENG vs SUI | 12% | +770% | $1K |
| 7 | MAR vs ESP / ENG vs SUI | 10% | +885% | $10 |
| 8 | FRA vs ESP / NOR vs ARG | 10% | +900% | $17K |
| 9 | FRA vs BEL / ENG vs ARG | 6% | +1567% | $120 |
| 10 | MAR vs BEL / NOR vs SUI BEST VALUE | 5% | +1842% | $10 |
| 11 | MAR vs BEL / ENG vs ARG | 5% | +1842% | $10 |
| 12 | MAR vs BEL / ENG vs SUI | 5% | +1842% | $10 |
| 13 | MAR vs BEL / NOR vs ARG | 4% | +2310% | $10 |
| 14 | MAR vs ESP / ENG vs ARG | 4% | +2400% | $110 |
| 15 | MAR vs ESP / NOR vs ARG | 4% | +2678% | $124 |
| 16 | MAR vs ESP / NOR vs SUI | 3% | +3126% | $10 |
| 17 | FRA vs BEL / NOR vs ARG | 2% | +6150% | $81 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve in favor of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchups determined by the teams that advance from the Quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes imp...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Semifinals Exact Matchup will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with FRA vs ESP / ENG vs ARG leading at just 51%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
As of Jul 09, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is FRA vs ESP / ENG vs ARG at 51% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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