Market is split — Sweden at 57%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 57% | +74% | $96 |
| 2 | Morocco | 56% | +78% | $60 |
| 3 | Qatar | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Australia | 48% | +111% | $50 |
| 5 | Czechia | 40% | +147% | $142 |
| 6 | Senegal | 34% | +194% | $80 |
| 7 | Ivory Coast | 34% | +199% | $240 |
| 8 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 34% | +199% | $219 |
| 9 | Algeria | 32% | +217% | $161 |
| 10 | Austria | 30% | +233% | $164 |
| 11 | Ecuador | 29% | +245% | $33 |
| 12 | Scotland | 28% | +251% | $249 |
| 13 | Iran | 27% | +270% | - |
| 14 | DR Congo | 24% | +308% | $40 |
| 15 | Egypt | 22% | +355% | - |
| 16 | Ghana | 22% | +365% | $60 |
| 17 | Japan | 21% | +376% | $55 |
| 18 | Canada | 21% | +376% | $526 |
| 19 | Norway | 19% | +439% | - |
| 20 | Türkiye BEST VALUE | 18% | +441% | $20 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwis...
This prediction market tracks whether World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance will occur, with $11K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Sweden leading at just 57%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $8K traded in the last 24 hours alone (74% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 14, 2026 at 05:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Sweden at 57% probability, with $11K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms