The market strongly favors China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 91% | +10% | - |
| 3 | China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 90% | +10% | - |
| 4 | China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu | 75% | +34% | $81K |
| 5 | China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 66% | +53% | $52 |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Game Spread +/-6.5 | 50% | +100% | $222 |
| 11 | China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Set 2 Winner | 42% | +135% | $118 |
| 12 | China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Match O/U 22.5 | 40% | +150% | - |
| 13 | China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 27% | +270% | $34 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Harriet Dart and Yihan Qu in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Ha...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu will occur, with $82K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $71K traded in the last 24 hours alone (87% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 01, 2026 at 10:15 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open: Harriet Dart vs Yihan Qu Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $82K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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