The market strongly favors Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 3 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 4 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $21 |
| 7 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | $15 |
| 8 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan | 46% | +115% | $75K |
| 14 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Match O/U 21.5 | 32% | +208% | - |
| 15 | Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Aliona Falei and Yue Yuan in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aliona Falei' if Aliona F...
This prediction market tracks whether Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan will occur, with $75K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $75K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 14, 2026 at 16:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Istanbul 2: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $75K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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