The market strongly favors China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 88% | +13% | $17 |
| 2 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Game Spread +/-7.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 3 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 52% | +92% | - |
| 5 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 8 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 22.5 | 46% | +117% | - |
| 10 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.5 | 46% | +117% | - |
| 11 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 38% | +167% | - |
| 12 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.5 | 16% | +525% | - |
| 13 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 Winner | 10% | +852% | - |
| 14 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 10% | +852% | - |
| 15 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner BEST VALUE | 6% | +1567% | - |
| 16 | China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | 3% | +3348% | $32K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Gao and Iga Swiatek in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Gao' if Xinyu Ga...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek will occur, with $32K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $32K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-10. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 02, 2026 at 20:05 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 88% probability, with $32K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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