The market strongly favors China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 91%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 91% | +10% | $6 |
| 2 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 91% | +10% | - |
| 3 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 91% | +10% | - |
| 4 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Match O/U 21.5 | 66% | +50% | $280 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $60 |
| 6 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $2 |
| 7 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $180 |
| 11 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $18 |
| 12 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $51 |
| 13 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% | +100% | $13 |
| 14 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 Winner | 36% | +174% | - |
| 15 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech | 22% | +344% | $64K |
| 16 | China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 Winner BEST VALUE | 21% | +376% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Elsa Jacquemot and Magdalena Frech in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elsa Jacque...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech will occur, with $66K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 91%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $66K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 30, 2026 at 13:05 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 91% probability, with $66K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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