Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi leads at 68%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi | 68% | +48% | $24K |
| 2 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 62% | +63% | - |
| 3 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 56% | +80% | - |
| 4 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 56% | +80% | - |
| 5 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 11 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 12 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 13 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 14 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Set 1 Winner | 38% | +160% | - |
| 15 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Set 2 Winner | 38% | +163% | - |
| 16 | Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi Set 1 O/U 8.5 BEST VALUE | 34% | +190% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Jones and Federica Urgesi in the Rome, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' if F...
This prediction market tracks whether Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi at 68%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $24K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 15, 2026 at 01:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Rome: Francesca Jones vs Federica Urgesi at 68% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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