China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 67%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 67% | +49% | - |
| 2 | Completed Match | 60% | +67% | $826 |
| 3 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Game Spread +/-1.5 | 49% | +104% | $646 |
| 7 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.5 | 46% | +117% | $7K |
| 8 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 44% | +125% | $5K |
| 9 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 44% | +127% | - |
| 10 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 22.5 | 40% | +150% | - |
| 11 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner | 38% | +163% | $45 |
| 12 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 Winner | 38% | +163% | $6 |
| 13 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% | +167% | $366 |
| 14 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.5 | 36% | +174% | - |
| 15 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek | 34% | +190% | $46K |
| 16 | China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 21% | +376% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Jovic and Iga Swiatek in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iva Jovic' if Iva Jovi...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek will occur, with $60K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 67%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $58K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 07, 2026 at 05:05 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 67% probability, with $60K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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