Market is split — Completed Match at 52%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 52% | +90% | $13K |
| 2 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Set 2 Winner | 52% | +92% | - |
| 3 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Set 1 Winner | 52% | +94% | - |
| 4 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang | 51% | +96% | $33 |
| 5 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 11 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 12 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 13 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 14 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 47% | +113% | - |
| 15 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Match O/U 23.5 | 46% | +115% | - |
| 16 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang Match O/U 22.5 BEST VALUE | 45% | +122% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Sonay Kartal and Xinyu Wang in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonay Kartal' if Son...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Xinyu Wang will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Completed Match leading at just 52%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 01, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Completed Match at 52% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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