US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 67%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 67% | +49% | - |
| 2 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 7 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 2 Winner | 48% | +108% | - |
| 8 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | 48% | +111% | $16K |
| 9 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 46% | +117% | - |
| 10 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Game Spread +/-2.5 | 46% | +117% | - |
| 11 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 1 Winner | 44% | +125% | - |
| 12 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 22.5 | 44% | +130% | - |
| 13 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | +130% | - |
| 14 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +153% | $8 |
| 15 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 34% | +199% | $15 |
| 16 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +326% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkin...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 67%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 01, 2026 at 15:05 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 67% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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