The market strongly favors US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Set 1 Winner at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Set 1 Winner | 92% | +8% | $43 |
| 2 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 90% | +11% | - |
| 3 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva | 84% | +20% | $71K |
| 4 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Set 2 Winner | 67% | +49% | - |
| 5 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 57% | +74% | $19K |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Game Spread +/-4.5 | 50% | +100% | $109 |
| 9 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Match O/U 21.5 | 42% | +135% | $39 |
| 15 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Match O/U 22.5 | 36% | +174% | - |
| 16 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 30% | +239% | $30 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Keys and Alina Korneeva in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' i...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva will occur, with $91K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Set 1 Winner is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $87K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 01, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Alina Korneeva Set 1 Winner at 92% probability, with $91K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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