Market is split — US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng at 60%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng | 60% | +68% | $125K |
| 2 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 59% | +69% | $397 |
| 3 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 Winner | 58% | +72% | $54 |
| 4 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 Winner | 55% | +83% | - |
| 5 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 53% | +89% | - |
| 6 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 21.5 | 52% | +92% | $125 |
| 7 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $164 |
| 9 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $86 |
| 11 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Game Spread +/-2.5 | 50% | +100% | $66 |
| 14 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 15 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 23.5 | 49% | +104% | - |
| 16 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 22.5 | 41% | +144% | $5K |
| 17 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 21% | +376% | $243 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Keys and Qinwen Zheng in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' i...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng will occur, with $131K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng leading at just 60%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $130K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 05, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng at 60% probability, with $131K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $131K, with $130K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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