The market strongly favors China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Set 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $783 |
| 2 | China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Match O/U 21.5 | 72% | +40% | $127 |
| 3 | China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 68% | +47% | $47 |
| 4 | China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Match O/U 22.5 | 58% | +72% | $32 |
| 5 | China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska | 57% | +74% | $72K |
| 6 | China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Match O/U 23.5 | 55% | +83% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 54% | +85% | $11K |
| 8 | China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% | +100% | $37 |
| 12 | China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 Winner BEST VALUE | 32% | +217% | $87 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Sinja Kraus and Dayana Yastremska in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sinja Kraus' i...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska will occur, with $90K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $91K traded in the last 24 hours alone (101% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 04, 2026 at 04:15 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open: Sinja Kraus vs Dayana Yastremska Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $90K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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