The market strongly favors Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Giorgia Pedone Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Giorgia Pedone Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $30 |
| 2 | Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Giorgia Pedone Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Giorgia Pedone BEST VALUE | 100% | +0% | $71K |
| 4 | Completed Match | 100% | +0% | $565 |
| 5 | Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Giorgia Pedone Set 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | - |
| 6 | Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Giorgia Pedone Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 7 | Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Giorgia Pedone Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 8 | Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Giorgia Pedone Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +0% | $15 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Martha Matoula and Giorgia Pedone in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martha Matoula' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Giorgia Pedone will occur, with $72K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Giorgia Pedone Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $72K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-19. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 13, 2026 at 14:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Giorgia Pedone Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $72K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms