The market strongly favors Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $4K |
| 2 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +0% | $198 |
| 3 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +0% | $3K |
| 4 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +0% | $469 |
| 5 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 6 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +1% | $109 |
| 7 | Completed Match | 54% | +87% | - |
| 8 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez | 52% | +90% | $364K |
| 9 | Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Game Spread +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $200 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Elise Mertens and Leylah Fernandez in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elise Merte...
This prediction market tracks whether Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez will occur, with $379K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $409K traded in the last 24 hours alone (108% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-26. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 19, 2026 at 06:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $379K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $379K, with $409K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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