US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez | 84% | +20% | $29K |
| 2 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 Winner | 78% | +27% | - |
| 3 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 Winner | 76% | +32% | - |
| 4 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 61% | +64% | - |
| 5 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 60% | +65% | $1K |
| 6 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Game Spread +/-4.5 | 55% | +83% | $11 |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 21.5 | 45% | +122% | - |
| 12 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 42% | +141% | - |
| 13 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 22.5 | 40% | +153% | - |
| 14 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 23.5 | 38% | +167% | - |
| 15 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 31% | +223% | - |
| 16 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +308% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Leylah Fernandez in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica P...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $30K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 04, 2026 at 09:15 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez at 84% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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